Thoughts on thoughts (III) [entries|reading|network|archive]
simont

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Tue 2006-03-21 11:15
Thoughts on thoughts (III)
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[identity profile] cartesiandaemon.livejournal.comTue 2006-03-21 18:15
Then there's the usual set of pathological cases
Are they pathological when almost everything[1] is a non-black non-raven? :)

I thought Bayesian thinking was supposed to not suffer from that problem, but haven't worked out the details yet (eg. http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/epistemology-bayesian/ doesn't satisfy me). I think the flaws in applying the reasoning might involve the alternatives (we naturally assume *most* ravens are *certainly* black) and whether we know the number of objects and the number of ravens.

[1] Perhaps even measure-theoretically almost everything.
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