Are they pathological when almost everything[1] is a non-black non-raven? :)
I thought Bayesian thinking was supposed to not suffer from that problem, but haven't worked out the details yet (eg. http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/epistemology-bayesian/ doesn't satisfy me). I think the flaws in applying the reasoning might involve the alternatives (we naturally assume *most* ravens are *certainly* black) and whether we know the number of objects and the number of ravens.
[1] Perhaps even measure-theoretically almost everything.
I thought Bayesian thinking was supposed to not suffer from that problem, but haven't worked out the details yet (eg. http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/epistemology-bayesian/ doesn't satisfy me). I think the flaws in applying the reasoning might involve the alternatives (we naturally assume *most* ravens are *certainly* black) and whether we know the number of objects and the number of ravens.
[1] Perhaps even measure-theoretically almost everything.